Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
69.07% ( 0.01) | 18.23% ( -0) | 12.7% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.2% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.87% ( -0.01) | 40.13% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.5% ( -0.01) | 62.5% ( 0.01) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.46% ( -0) | 10.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.74% ( 0) | 34.26% ( -0) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.24% ( -0.01) | 42.76% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.91% ( -0.01) | 79.09% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-0 @ 11.4% 1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.27% 4-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 4.28% Total : 69.06% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.23% | 0-1 @ 3.83% 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |