Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
14.09% ( 0.05) | 19.81% ( 0.04) | 66.1% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.75% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.91% ( -0.04) | 44.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.53% ( -0.04) | 66.47% ( 0.03) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.84% ( 0.06) | 43.16% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.57% ( 0.05) | 79.43% ( -0.05) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% ( -0.04) | 12.47% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.57% ( -0.08) | 38.43% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.09% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 19.81% | 0-2 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 66.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 18 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 32 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
9 | Udinese | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 21 |
12 | Empoli | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 17 |
18 | Lecce | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 17 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |