Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Sassuolo |
39.81% ( 0.96) | 25.36% ( -0.16) | 34.83% ( -0.8) |
Both teams to score 56.25% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.5% ( 0.63) | 47.5% ( -0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.29% ( 0.57) | 69.71% ( -0.58) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( 0.78) | 23.62% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.3% ( 1.12) | 57.7% ( -1.12) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% ( -0.18) | 26.35% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.5% ( -0.23) | 61.49% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.81% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.25% Total : 34.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
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