Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Bologna |
40.12% ( -0.81) | 26.19% ( 0.07) | 33.68% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 53.21% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% ( -0.15) | 51.32% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.86% ( -0.13) | 73.14% ( 0.14) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( -0.49) | 25.17% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( -0.68) | 59.89% ( 0.69) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( 0.4) | 28.9% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% ( 0.49) | 64.77% ( -0.49) |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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