Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
41.6% ( 0.26) | 26.01% ( -0.03) | 32.4% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.15% ( 0.09) | 50.85% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.27% ( 0.08) | 72.73% ( -0.07) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.8% ( 0.17) | 24.2% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.47% ( 0.24) | 58.53% ( -0.23) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( -0.1) | 29.49% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.49% ( -0.13) | 65.51% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 31 |
3 | Inter Milan | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 28 |
4 | Fiorentina | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 17 | 28 |
5 | Lazio | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 28 |
6 | Juventus | 14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
7 | AC Milan | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Udinese | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
10 | Empoli | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 16 |
11 | Parma | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 15 |
12 | Torino | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 14 |
14 | Genoa | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 14 |
15 | Roma | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
16 | Lecce | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 22 | -15 | 13 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 12 |
18 | Como | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 11 |
19 | Monza | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
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