Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
63.27% ( -0.01) | 21.1% ( 0) | 15.63% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.4% ( -0.01) | 46.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.12% ( -0.01) | 68.87% ( 0.01) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.91% ( -0.01) | 14.08% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.31% ( -0.01) | 41.69% ( 0.01) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.44% ( 0) | 42.56% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% ( 0) | 78.92% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 11.51% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.61% Total : 63.25% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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