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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Juventus logo

Torino
0 - 1
Juventus


Linetty (60'), Lazaro (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vlahovic (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Derby della Mole between Torino and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 9 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Juventus
Tuesday, October 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Torino 0-1 Juventus

While Juventus are clearly vulnerable, Torino perhaps lack the tools to take full advantage and the weight of history bears heavily on their shoulders. The Turin derby is therefore set to be an attritional affair, in which a low-scoring Juve win is the likeliest result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawJuventus
46.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 27.11% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.18% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.86% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)78.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (0.0019999999999953 0)24.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (0.0010000000000048 0)59.35%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.14% (0.0039999999999978 0)37.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36% (0.004999999999999 0)74.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Torino 46.71%
    Juventus 26.18%
    Draw 27.11%
TorinoDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 13.09%
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.87%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 9.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.11%
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Torino vs Juventus

Torino
24.2%
Draw
28.0%
Juventus
47.8%
186
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 2, 2021 5pm
Apr 3, 2021 5pm
Torino
2-2
Juventus
Sanabria (27', 46')
Ansaldi (42'), Rincon (59'), Sanabria (83')
Chiesa (13'), Ronaldo (79')
Cuadrado (68'), Bernardeschi (90+2')
Dec 5, 2020 5pm
Juventus
2-1
Torino
McKennie (77'), Bonucci (89')
Kulusevski (51'), de Ligt (72'), Cuadrado (90+3')
Pinsoglio (90')
N'Koulou (9')
Lyanco (70'), Lukic (76'), Bonazzoli (90+5')
Jul 4, 2020 4.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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