Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
61.56% ( 0.02) | 22.41% ( -0.01) | 16.02% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.23% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% ( -0.02) | 51.26% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.91% ( -0.02) | 73.09% ( 0.02) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.82% ( 0) | 16.18% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.34% | 45.65% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.16% ( -0.04) | 44.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.19% ( -0.03) | 80.8% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.89% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 16.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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