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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Inter logo

Lazio
3 - 1
Inter Milan

Anderson (40'), Alberto (75'), Pedro (86')
Zaccagni (56'), Marusic (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (51')
Brozovic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 1-2 Inter Milan

Inter can end their barren run away to Lazio this week, by building on momentum from their opening matches. While the tactical tussle between Inzaghi and Sarri is always engaging, it is the former who should come out on top this time, due to his depth of resources on the bench. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.76%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawInter Milan
24.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 22.52% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 52.76% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.72% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.87% (0.211 0.21)40.13% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5% (0.217 0.22)62.5% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5% (0.097999999999999 0.1)29.5% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49% (0.122 0.12)65.51% (-0.12599999999999 -0.13)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09)15.28% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.01% (0.182 0.18)43.99% (-0.186 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 24.72%
    Inter Milan 52.76%
    Draw 22.51%
LazioDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.5% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.72%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.51%
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.08% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.71% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.86% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.74% (0.017 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 52.76%

How you voted: Lazio vs Inter Milan

Lazio
13.7%
Draw
15.2%
Inter Milan
71.1%
256
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Lazio
Bastoni (30'), Skriniar (67')
Vidal (90')
Immobile (35')
Felipe (40'), Basic (54'), Radu (71'), Zaccagni (72')
Oct 16, 2021 5pm
Lazio
3-1
Inter Milan
Immobile (64' pen.), Anderson (81'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+1')
Basic (27'), Milinkovic-Savic (83'), Anderson (83')
Felipe (90+7')
Perisic (12' pen.)
Gagliardini (36'), Bastoni (63'), Martinez (83'), Dumfries (83'), Correa (87'), Darmian (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
3-1
Lazio
Lukaku (22' pen., 45'), Martinez (64')
Lukaku (26'), Hakimi (59')
Oct 4, 2020 2pm
Lazio
1-1
Inter Milan
Milinkovic-Savic (55')
Fares (37'), S (43'), Lazzari (79'), Patric (86')
Immobile (69')
Martinez (30')
Lukaku (42'), Vidal (70'), Young (78'), Barella (90+3')
Sensi (86')
Feb 16, 2020 7.45pm
Lazio
2-1
Inter Milan
Immobile (50' pen.), Milinkovic-Savic (69')
Leiva (51'), Felipe (58'), S. (90'), Lazzari (90'), Milinkovic-Savic (90')
Young (44')
de Vrij (49'), Godin (79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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