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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Spezia Calcio logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Spezia

Martinez (35'), Calhanoglu (52'), Correa (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 1-0 Empoli
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Spezia

Almost invulnerable on home soil in recent years, Inter are unlikely to yield to such modest opponents as Spezia, even if sealing last week's win was a struggle. The Nerazzurri have averaged two goals a game over their last six matches, including pre-season, which highlights their fearsome attacking potential. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 3-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
74.4% (0.925 0.92) 15.23% (-0.441 -0.44) 10.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.05% (0.753 0.75)31.95% (-0.751 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.49% (0.875 0.88)53.51% (-0.874 -0.87)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.71% (0.363 0.36)7.28% (-0.3619 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.64% (0.941 0.94)26.36% (-0.94 -0.94)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.83% (-0.328 -0.33)41.17% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (-0.295 -0.29)77.71% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 74.39%
    Spezia 10.37%
    Draw 15.23%
Inter MilanDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.98% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.173 -0.17)
4-0 @ 5.88% (0.198 0.2)
4-1 @ 5.22% (0.13 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.159 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.32% (0.037 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.35% (0.093 0.09)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.042 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 74.39%
1-1 @ 6.97% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.23%
1-2 @ 3.09% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 10.37%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Spezia

Inter Milan
85.7%
Draw
7.8%
Spezia
6.5%
77
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 6pm
Spezia
1-3
Inter Milan
Maggiore (88')
Bastoni (10'), Nikolaou (86')
Brozovic (31'), Martinez (73'), Sanchez (90+3')
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Inter Milan
2-0
Spezia
Gagliardini (36'), Martinez (58' pen.)
Martinez (44')

Manaj (31'), Kiwior (57')
Apr 21, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Spezia
Hakimi (52'), Lukaku (71' pen.)
Brozovic (18'), Conte (64')
Piccoli (90+4')
N'Zola (41'), Terzi (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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