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Serie A | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Lazio logo

Spezia
3 - 4
Lazio

Amian (9'), Agudelo (35'), Hristov (56')
Manaj (64'), Amian (64'), Kovalenko (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Immobile (33' pen.), Provedel (54' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Acerbi (90')
Zaccagni (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-3 Lazio

Along with Sampdoria, one of two teams not to have drawn any Serie A home matches in 2022, Spezia would surely take a point on this occasion. However, Lazio have other ideas, and a powerful mixture of determination to bounce back from the Milan loss and their greater need for the points will ensure they go in all guns blazing on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawLazio
18.14%21.47%60.39%
Both teams to score 53.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.14%43.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.75%66.25%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.16%37.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.39%74.61%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.91%14.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.3%41.7%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 18.14%
    Lazio 60.38%
    Draw 21.47%
SpeziaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 5.18%
2-1 @ 4.93%
2-0 @ 2.52%
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.14%
1-1 @ 10.15%
0-0 @ 5.33%
2-2 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.47%
0-1 @ 10.44%
0-2 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 6.5%
0-4 @ 3.28%
1-4 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 3.16%
2-4 @ 1.55%
0-5 @ 1.29%
1-5 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.38%

How you voted: Spezia vs Lazio

Spezia
16.4%
Draw
11.5%
Lazio
72.1%
61
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Lazio
6-1
Spezia
Immobile (5', 15', 45+2'), Anderson (47'), Hysaj (70'), Alberto (85')
Verde (4')
Erlic (45+1'), Gyasi (49')
Amian (54')
Apr 3, 2021 2pm
Dec 5, 2020 2pm
Spezia
1-2
Lazio
N'Zola (64')
Bastoni (23'), Terzi (31'), Ricci (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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