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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Sampdoria logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Alberto (80')
Vecino (71'), Casale (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Leris (49'), Gabbiadini (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CFR Cluj 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 Bologna
Saturday, February 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Sampdoria

Lazio have conceded the joint-fewest goals in the first half of games across Europe's top five leagues (four, level with Barcelona), while Samp have scored just five in the first half all season - no team has fewer. Logic dictates, then, that the home side should comfortably keep their visitors at bay before one of many attacking options strikes at the other end: cue more misery for Sampdoria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawSampdoria
67.89% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 19.7% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 12.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.41% (-0.441 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61% (-0.512 -0.51)47.39% (0.516 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (-0.478 -0.48)69.61% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (-0.166 -0.17)12.95% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)39.42% (0.343 0.34)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.16% (-0.405 -0.41)47.84% (0.408 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.89% (-0.302 -0.3)83.11% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 67.88%
    Sampdoria 12.41%
    Draw 19.7%
LazioDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.94% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.51% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 67.88%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 19.7%
0-1 @ 4.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 12.41%

How you voted: Lazio vs Sampdoria

Lazio
89.2%
Draw
4.5%
Sampdoria
6.4%
157
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm
May 7, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 5, 2021 5pm
Feb 20, 2021 2pm
Lazio
1-0
Sampdoria
Alberto (24')
Lulic (45'), Marusic (82'), Escalante (89'), Patric (90+3')

Silva (35'), Ekdal (60'), Colley (74')
Oct 17, 2020 5pm
Sampdoria
3-0
Lazio
Quagliarella (32'), Augello (41'), Damsgaard (74')
Ramirez (43'), Thorsby (64')

Parolo (12'), Caicedo (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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