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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Lazio
4 - 0
AC Milan

Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennacer (26'), Kjaer (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Bologna
Thursday, January 19 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Lazio 1-2 AC Milan

 With both managers intent on controlling possession and playing offensive styles, this should be an entertaining clash between two of Italy's biggest clubs. However, Immobile's injury could prove pivotal in terms of influencing the result, with Milan always a potent threat in transition on the road. As such, we can envisage an important away win for Pioli's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
33.33% (1.331 1.33) 25.3% (0.046000000000003 0.05) 41.37% (-1.38 -1.38)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.302 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (0.184 0.18)47.53% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (0.172 0.17)69.74% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.934 0.93)27.27% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (1.198 1.2)62.7% (-1.199 -1.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (-0.586 -0.59)22.85% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (-0.87200000000001 -0.87)56.59% (0.871 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 33.33%
    AC Milan 41.37%
    Draw 25.29%
LazioDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.156 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.33%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.235 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.37%

How you voted: Lazio vs AC Milan

Lazio
19.5%
Draw
18.1%
AC Milan
62.4%
226
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
Lazio
1-2
AC Milan
Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Lazio
3-0
AC Milan
Correa (2', 51'), Immobile (87')
Acerbi (19'), Milinkovic-Savic (57')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Lazio
Rebic (10'), Calhanoglu (17' pen.), Hernandez (90+2')
Krunic (41'), Pioli (44'), Hernandez (78')
Alberto (28'), Immobile (59')
Inzaghi (27'), Escalante (39'), Alberto (64'), Akpa-Akpro (80'), Muriqi (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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