Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-3 Juventus
Sunday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Four of Genoa's last six Serie A strikes have come courtesy of dead-ball situations, while Lecce conceded their eighth headed goal last weekend - a league high in that category. Even if the home side cannot break through in general play, they could therefore make the most of their set-pieces. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genoa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Genoa.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Lecce |
52.61% ( 0.01) | 26.36% ( 0) | 21.03% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.81% ( -0.01) | 59.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.38% ( -0) | 79.62% ( 0.01) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( 0) | 22.66% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.7% ( 0) | 56.3% ( 0) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.44% ( -0.01) | 43.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.24% ( -0.01) | 79.77% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Genoa 52.6%
Lecce 21.03%
Draw 26.36%
| Genoa | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 14.65% 2-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.47% 4-0 @ 2% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.67% Total : 52.6% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 9.87% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 8.2% 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.03% |
How you voted: Genoa vs Lecce
Genoa
67.9%Draw
21.4%Lecce
10.7%84
