Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 54.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Empoli |
54.66% ( -0.03) | 23.85% ( 0.01) | 21.48% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.27% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.58% ( 0) | 49.41% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.54% ( 0) | 71.45% ( -0) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% ( -0.01) | 17.96% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.2% ( -0.02) | 48.8% ( 0.02) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.5% ( 0.03) | 37.5% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.72% ( 0.03) | 74.28% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 21.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |