Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Salernitana |
72.37% ( 0.1) | 17.08% ( -0.04) | 10.55% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.9% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.31% ( 0.01) | 40.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.93% ( 0.01) | 63.07% ( -0.01) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.13% ( 0.02) | 9.87% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.27% ( 0.06) | 32.73% ( -0.06) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.15% ( -0.1) | 46.84% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.63% ( -0.08) | 82.37% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.7% 3-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 72.35% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 17.08% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 11 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Como | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
20 | Genoa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 6 |
> Serie A Full Table |