Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Salernitana |
72.37% ( 0.1) | 17.08% ( -0.04) | 10.55% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.9% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.31% ( 0.01) | 40.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.93% ( 0.01) | 63.07% ( -0.01) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.13% ( 0.02) | 9.87% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.27% ( 0.06) | 32.73% ( -0.06) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.15% ( -0.1) | 46.84% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.63% ( -0.08) | 82.37% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Salernitana |
2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.7% 3-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.45% Total : 72.35% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 17.08% | 0-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
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