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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Salernitana

Lazio
1 - 3
Salernitana

Zaccagni (41')
Milinkovic-Savic (72'), Marusic (75'), Cancellieri (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Candreva (51'), Fazio (68'), Dia (76')
Coulibaly (56'), Sepe (90+4'), Dia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Midtjylland
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Salernitana 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, October 22 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-0 Salernitana

As Salernitana have scored just three times away from home so far, their trip to the capital is surely doomed to end in failure. Lazio are watertight at the back and can be clinical up front, so even allowing for a drop in levels ahead of next week's events they should get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawSalernitana
72.37% (0.096999999999994 0.1) 17.08% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 10.55% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.9% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.31% (0.011000000000003 0.01)40.68% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)9.87% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.27% (0.060999999999993 0.06)32.73% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.15% (-0.105 -0.1)46.84% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.63% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)82.37% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 72.35%
    Salernitana 10.55%
    Draw 17.08%
LazioDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.7%
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.029000000000002 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.26%
4-0 @ 5.54% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.2% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.57% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 72.35%
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 17.08%
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 10.55%

How you voted: Lazio vs Salernitana

Lazio
89.9%
Draw
9.2%
Salernitana
0.9%
109
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 5pm
Salernitana
0-3
Lazio

Schiavone (41'), Ranieri (63')
Immobile (7', 10'), Lazzari (66')
Cataldi (28'), Lazzari (66'), Felipe (69')
Nov 7, 2021 5pm
Lazio
3-0
Salernitana
Immobile (31'), Pedro (36'), Alberto (69')
Cataldi (11')

Gyomber (9'), Obi (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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