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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
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Inter Milan
4 - 0
Fiorentina

Thuram (23'), Martinez (53', 73'), Calhanoglu (58' pen.)
Barella (45+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ranieri (39'), Italiano (60+60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Inter Milan
Monday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Rapid Vienna
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Fiorentina

 Both teams have started productively this season, so several goals could be on the cards - if not quite the total of seven shared out in last autumn's thriller. Inter's squad is more settled than Fiorentina's, which has been in flux right up until deadline day, and they should start September with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawFiorentina
41.83% (0.485 0.48) 25.65% (0.377 0.38) 32.52% (-0.859 -0.86)
Both teams to score 54.66% (-1.544 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (-1.881 -1.88)49.29% (1.882 1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (-1.718 -1.72)71.34% (1.72 1.72)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.581 -0.58)23.4% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.853 -0.85)57.38% (0.856 0.86)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-1.461 -1.46)28.64% (1.463 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-1.865 -1.87)64.45% (1.867 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 41.83%
    Fiorentina 32.52%
    Draw 25.65%
Inter MilanDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.571 0.57)
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.299 0.3)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.42% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.501 0.5)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.301 0.3)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.52%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Fiorentina

Inter Milan
86.1%
Draw
9.7%
Fiorentina
4.2%
72
Head to Head
May 24, 2023 8pm
Final
Fiorentina
1-2
Inter Milan
Gonzalez (3')
Martinez (54'), Gonzalez (90')
Martinez (29', 37')
Bastoni (53')
> Match Report
Apr 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 28
Inter Milan
0-1
Fiorentina
Bonaventura (53')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
3-4
Inter Milan
Cabral (33' pen.), Ikone (60'), Jovic (90')
Barella (2'), Martinez (15', 73'), Mkhitaryan (90+5')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 30
Inter Milan
1-1
Fiorentina
Dumfries (55')
D'Ambrosio (72')
Torreira (50')
Milenkovic (39'), Saponara (56')
> Preview
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Fiorentina
1-3
Inter Milan
Sottil (23')
Gonzalez (78')
Gonzalez (78')
Darmian (52'), Dzeko (55'), Perisic (87')
Skriniar (18'), Darmian (63'), Calhanoglu (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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