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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Fiorentina logo

Udinese
0 - 2
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (32'), Bonaventura (90+2')
Ranieri (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genk 2-2 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Udinese 1-1 Fiorentina

Despite lacking bite up front, Udinese rarely concede more than one goal and are generally tough to beat on home soil. As Fiorentina's ever-changing cast will be rotated again, a disjointed performance may see them restricted to a single point from their trip north to Udine. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawFiorentina
31.54% (0.302 0.3) 25.11% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 43.34% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.022000000000006 0.02)47.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02)69.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (0.209 0.21)28.29% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (0.264 0.26)64.01% (-0.267 -0.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.142 -0.14)21.81% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.217 -0.22)55.02% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 31.54%
    Fiorentina 43.34%
    Draw 25.11%
UdineseDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.54%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Udinese vs Fiorentina

Udinese
13.3%
Draw
30.0%
Fiorentina
56.7%
30
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm
Apr 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Fiorentina
0-4
Udinese

Gonzalez (49'), Torreira (59'), Maleh (90+4')
Mari (12'), Deulofeu (36'), Walace (90+1'), Udogie (90+5')
Nuytinck (16'), Deulofeu (49'), Makengo (55'), Udogie (80')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 6
Udinese
0-1
Fiorentina

Arslan (45+2'), Walace (53')
Vlahovic (16' pen.)
Martinez (17'), Amrabat (70'), Odriozola (90+6')
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Udinese
1-0
Fiorentina
Nestorovski (86')
Llorente (73')

Martinez (64'), Kokorin (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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