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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Fiorentina logo

Udinese
0 - 2
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (32'), Bonaventura (90+2')
Ranieri (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 17 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Genk 2-2 Fiorentina
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Udinese 1-1 Fiorentina

Despite lacking bite up front, Udinese rarely concede more than one goal and are generally tough to beat on home soil. As Fiorentina's ever-changing cast will be rotated again, a disjointed performance may see them restricted to a single point from their trip north to Udine. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawFiorentina
31.54% (0.302 0.3) 25.11% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 43.34% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.022000000000006 0.02)47.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.48% (0.018999999999998 0.02)69.52% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71% (0.209 0.21)28.29% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (0.264 0.26)64.01% (-0.267 -0.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.142 -0.14)21.81% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.217 -0.22)55.02% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 31.54%
    Fiorentina 43.34%
    Draw 25.11%
UdineseDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.79% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.92% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.54%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.59% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Udinese vs Fiorentina

Udinese
Draw
Fiorentina
Udinese
13.3%
Draw
30.0%
Fiorentina
56.7%
30
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Aug 31, 2022 5.30pm
Apr 27, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 20
Fiorentina
0-4
Udinese

Gonzalez (49'), Torreira (59'), Maleh (90+4')
Mari (12'), Deulofeu (36'), Walace (90+1'), Udogie (90+5')
Nuytinck (16'), Deulofeu (49'), Makengo (55'), Udogie (80')
Sep 26, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 6
Udinese
0-1
Fiorentina

Arslan (45+2'), Walace (53')
Vlahovic (16' pen.)
Martinez (17'), Amrabat (70'), Odriozola (90+6')
Feb 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 24
Udinese
1-0
Fiorentina
Nestorovski (86')
Llorente (73')

Martinez (64'), Kokorin (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan31208369303968
2Napoli30197447242364
3Atalanta BCAtalanta31177763303358
4Juventus311414347291856
5Bologna301511450341656
6Lazio31167852421055
7Roma31158846311553
8Fiorentina31157949321752
9AC Milan31139947371048
10Torino3191393636040
11Udinese31117133642-640
12Genoa31911112938-938
13Como3189143948-933
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3194183059-2931
15CagliariCagliari3179153144-1330
16Parma31512143751-1427
17Lecce3168172250-2826
18Empoli31412152447-2324
19VeneziaVenezia31312162444-2021
20Monza3129202555-3015


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