Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli2 - 1Parma
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: Napoli 1-1 Parma
Napoli and Parma have drawn only one of their last 17 Serie A meetings, but a share of the spoils could be on the cards this weekend. The hosts are still a work in progress under a demanding new manager, while Fabio Pecchia's promotion-winners have momentum on their side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Parma |
61% ( 2.5) | 21.08% ( -1.1) | 17.91% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
