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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Fiorentina logo

Parma
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Man (22')
Estevez (36'), Balogh (49'), Circati (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Biraghi (75')
Pongracic (35')
Pongracic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 0-1 Palermo
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Grosseto 2-7 Fiorentina
Monday, August 5 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Parma 1-1 Fiorentina

Only once in their history have Fiorentina and Parma faced each other on Serie A's opening matchday, and 24 years after the previous meeting they will begin a brand-new season with a draw. While the hosts are familiar with Fabio Pecchia's setup, their visitors will be adapting to a new tactical framework under Raffaele Palladino and still have some work to do in the transfer market. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Parma had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ParmaDrawFiorentina
27.69% (-1.619 -1.62) 23.76% (-0.064 -0.06) 48.55% (1.685 1.69)
Both teams to score 58.26% (-0.979 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.66% (-0.761 -0.76)43.34% (0.762 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26% (-0.755 -0.75)65.74% (0.754 0.75)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (-1.523 -1.52)28.95% (1.523 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.16% (-1.929 -1.93)64.84% (1.93 1.93)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.372 0.37)18% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.63200000000001 0.63)48.86% (-0.631 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Parma 27.69%
    Fiorentina 48.55%
    Draw 23.76%
ParmaDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-0 @ 6.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.69%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.172 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 9.5% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.399 0.4)
0-2 @ 7.66% (0.429 0.43)
1-3 @ 5.43% (0.144 0.14)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.294 0.29)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.33% (0.089 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.147 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.55%

How you voted: Parma vs Fiorentina

Parma
26.2%
Draw
26.2%
Fiorentina
47.7%
65
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Fiorentina
2-2
Parma
(Aggregate 2-2 | Fiorentina win 4-1 on penalties)
N'Zola (83'), Sottil (89' pen.)
Mina (38'), N'Zola (92'), Infantino (120')
Bernabe (21'), Bonny (23')
Chichizola (38'), Ansaldi (96')
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 26
Fiorentina
3-3
Parma
Martinez (28'), Milenkovic (42'), Iacoponi (90+4' og.)
Kucka (32' pen.), Kurtic (72'), Mihaila (90')
Kucka (56'), Pezzella (62'), Bani (80')
D'Aversa (90+3')
Nov 7, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Parma
0-0
Fiorentina
Pezzella (68')
Ribery (42'), Milenkovic (73')
Jul 5, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 3, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
1-1
Parma
Castrovilli (67')
Henrique (55'), Pulgar (71')
Gervinho (40')
Pezzella (28'), Darmian (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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