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Serie A
Parma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Milan logo

Parma
2 - 1
AC Milan

Man (2'), Cancellieri (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pulisic (66')
Pavlovic (34'), Emerson (88'), Loftus-Cheek (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-2 Torino
Saturday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Parma 1-2 AC Milan

 Even without Alvaro Morata, Milan boast plenty of attacking options and should score more than once at the Tardini; Parma may suffer their first Serie A defeat of the season, but they should push their illustrious visitors close. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Parma had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.31%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Parma win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawAC Milan
35.31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 23.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 40.87% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 61.86% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.74% (0.07 0.07)40.26% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.37% (0.071000000000005 0.07)62.64% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.3% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)22.71% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)56.37% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (0.063000000000002 0.06)19.97% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (0.094999999999999 0.09)52.15% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Parma 35.31%
    AC Milan 40.87%
    Draw 23.83%
ParmaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 35.31%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 40.87%

How you voted: Parma vs AC Milan

Parma
14.2%
Draw
7.9%
AC Milan
78.0%
127
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 30
Parma
1-3
AC Milan
Gagliolo (66')
Bani (10'), Pezzella (37'), Gagliolo (38'), Kucka (64')
Rebic (8'), Kessie (44'), Leao (90+4')
Calhanoglu (24'), Hernandez (78'), Kessie (81'), Meite (90')
Ibrahimovic (60')
> Preview
Dec 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
2-2
Parma
Hernandez (58', 90+1')
Hernandez (35'), Calabria (80'), Kalulu (83')
Hernani (13'), Kurtic (56')
Osorio (41'), Iacoponi (65'), Inglese (77')
> Preview
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
AC Milan
3-1
Parma
> Preview
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 14
Parma
0-1
AC Milan

Iacoponi (61')
Hernandez (88')
Bennacer (58'), Hernandez (89'), Donnarumma (90')
Apr 20, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 33
Parma
1-1
AC Milan
Alves (87')
Castillejo (69')
Biglia (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Lecce174491129-1816
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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