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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Roma
1 - 0
Atalanta

Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Torino 0-2 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Roma vs. Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Atalanta
Sunday, May 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Next Game: Atalanta vs. Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-1 Atalanta BC

 Both sides' strengths and frailties are well known to each other, but Atalanta's attacking might has largely been replaced by a more disciplined defensive approach of late - particularly in high-profile clashes with Inter, Lazio and Juventus. Each of those games produced either goalless or low-scoring draws, and another could be in the offing against Roma this week, as their hosts are always vulnerable versus Calcio's top sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Roma win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
32.86%23.71%43.43%
Both teams to score 61.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.65%40.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.27%62.73%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89%24.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6%58.41%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11%18.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.63%50.37%
Score Analysis
    Roma 32.86%
    Atalanta BC 43.43%
    Draw 23.71%
RomaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.86%
1-1 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 9%
0-1 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 6.32%
1-3 @ 5%
2-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.51%
1-4 @ 2.08%
2-4 @ 1.48%
0-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 43.43%

How you voted: Roma vs Atalanta

Roma
46.6%
Draw
28.8%
Atalanta BC
24.6%
118
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
Apr 22, 2021 5.30pm
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Cristante (75')
Calafiori (31'), Villar (47'), Ibanez (90+3')
Ibanez (90+4')
Malinovskyi (26')
Gosens (52')
Gosens (69')
Dec 20, 2020 5pm
Atalanta
4-1
Roma
Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Roma
0-2
Atalanta

Zaniolo (40'), Jesus (89')
Zapata (71'), De Roon (90')
Kjaer (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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