MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:50:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Milan logo
Atalanta logo
Bologna logo
Cagliari logo
Empoli logo
Fiorentina logo
Genoa logo
Hellas Verona logo
Inter logo
Juventus logo
Lazio logo
Lecce logo
Monza
Napoli logo
Parma logo
Roma logo
Torino logo
Udinese logo
Venezia
Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Atalanta logo

Spezia
1 - 3
Atalanta

Verde (30')
Bastoni (41'), Maggiore (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muriel (16'), Djimsiti (73'), Pasalic (87')
Malinovskyi (53'), Freuler (57'), Muriel (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

Last Six:
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Atalanta BC

Last Six:
Last Game: Atalanta 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Atalanta BC

 Both teams are capable of scoring from a variety of sources - Atalanta have scored courtesy of the most different players (19) in Serie A this season and Spezia sit fifth in that ranking (15) - so this encounter should not be short of goals. Even though La Dea's morale is at a low ebb, they are generally more at ease on away soil, while their hosts may relax a little too much with safety almost assured. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-3 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
10.58% (0.117 0.12) 16.24% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 73.18% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 51.22% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (0.092000000000006 0.09)36.48% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (0.1 0.1)58.63% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.05% (0.275 0.27)43.95% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91% (0.227 0.23)80.08% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)8.62% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.26% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)29.74% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 10.58%
    Atalanta BC 73.17%
    Draw 16.24%
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.14% (0.031 0.03)
1-0 @ 3.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.58%
1-1 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16.24%
0-2 @ 11.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 9.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.026 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.015 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 73.17%

How you voted: Spezia vs Atalanta

Spezia
18.8%
Draw
6.3%
Atalanta BC
75.0%
48
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
5-2
Spezia
Pasalic (18', 41'), Zapata (38' pen.), Muriel (83'), Malinovskyi (89')
Koopmeiners (10'), Pasalic (71')
N'Zola (11', 90+1')
Gyasi (5'), Sala (36'), Hristov (49')
Mar 12, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
3-1
Spezia
Pasalic (54', 73'), Muriel (55')
Toloi (8'), de Roon (25')
Piccoli (82')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Spezia
0-0
Atalanta

Ricci (3'), Estevez (28'), Terzi (65')

Gosens (38'), Pasalic (52'), Pessina (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!