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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Atalanta logo

Spezia
1 - 3
Atalanta

Verde (30')
Bastoni (41'), Maggiore (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muriel (16'), Djimsiti (73'), Pasalic (87')
Malinovskyi (53'), Freuler (57'), Muriel (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Atalanta BC

Both teams are capable of scoring from a variety of sources - Atalanta have scored courtesy of the most different players (19) in Serie A this season and Spezia sit fifth in that ranking (15) - so this encounter should not be short of goals. Even though La Dea's morale is at a low ebb, they are generally more at ease on away soil, while their hosts may relax a little too much with safety almost assured. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 73.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-3 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Spezia win it was 2-1 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
10.58% (0.117 0.12) 16.24% (0.053000000000001 0.05) 73.18% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 51.22% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (0.092000000000006 0.09)36.48% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (0.1 0.1)58.63% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.05% (0.275 0.27)43.95% (-0.272 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.91% (0.227 0.23)80.08% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.38% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)8.62% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.26% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)29.74% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 10.58%
    Atalanta BC 73.17%
    Draw 16.24%
SpeziaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 3.14% (0.031 0.03)
1-0 @ 3.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.58%
1-1 @ 7.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16.24%
0-2 @ 11.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 9.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 4.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.026 0.03)
0-5 @ 2.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.93% (0.015 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-5 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
1-6 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 73.17%

How you voted: Spezia vs Atalanta

Spezia
18.8%
Draw
6.3%
Atalanta BC
75.0%
48
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
5-2
Spezia
Pasalic (18', 41'), Zapata (38' pen.), Muriel (83'), Malinovskyi (89')
Koopmeiners (10'), Pasalic (71')
N'Zola (11', 90+1')
Gyasi (5'), Sala (36'), Hristov (49')
Mar 12, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
3-1
Spezia
Pasalic (54', 73'), Muriel (55')
Toloi (8'), de Roon (25')
Piccoli (82')
Nov 21, 2020 5pm
Spezia
0-0
Atalanta

Ricci (3'), Estevez (28'), Terzi (65')

Gosens (38'), Pasalic (52'), Pessina (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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