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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Roma logo

Atalanta
4 - 1
Roma

Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Roma had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
40.76%22.5%36.74%
Both teams to score 67.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65%33.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.87%55.13%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88%17.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66%47.34%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13%18.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67%50.33%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 40.76%
    Roma 36.74%
    Draw 22.5%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
2-1 @ 8.39%
1-0 @ 5.7%
2-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 40.76%
1-1 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 7%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 4.41%
2-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.04%
3-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.74%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
43.0%
Draw
14.0%
Roma
43.0%
93
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Atalanta
2-1
Roma
Luis Palomino (50'), Pasalic (59')
Gosens (55')
Dzeko (45')
Mancini (11'), Mkhitaryan (27'), Fazio (88'), Perez (90'), Lopez (90')
Sep 25, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 5
Roma
0-2
Atalanta

Zaniolo (40'), Jesus (89')
Zapata (71'), De Roon (90')
Kjaer (25')
Jan 27, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 21
Atalanta
3-3
Roma
Castagne (45'), Toloi (59'), Zapata (71')
Dzeko (3', 33'), El Shaarawy (40')
Cristante (23'), Manolas (35'), N'Zonzi (64')
Aug 27, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Roma
3-3
Atalanta
Pastore (2'), Florenzi (60'), Manolas (82')
N'Zonzi (58')
Castagne (19'), Rigoni (22', 38')
Djimsiti (81')
Jan 6, 2018 5pm
Roma
1-2
Atalanta
Dzeko (56')
Fazio (90')
Cornelius (14'), De Roon (19')
de Roon (28'), Caldara (30')
de Roon (45')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
2Inter Milan1384131141728
3Napoli128221991026
4Fiorentina1274125101525
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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