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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Milan logo

Torino
2 - 1
AC Milan

Djidji (35'), Miranchuk (37')
Schuurs (24'), Buongiorno (30'), Juric (68'), Juric (70'), Pellegri (71'), Linetty (87'), Lukic (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Messias (67')
Kalulu (35'), Pobega (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Torino
Sunday, October 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-4 AC Milan
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Torino 1-2 AC Milan

Torino can finally end their scoring drought against Milan, but that may not prove enough to avoid defeat on Sunday evening. Even with a number of injuries still diminishing his options, Stefano Pioli has slowly built a Milan squad that features enough quality on the bench to make the difference when required. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.31%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Torino had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawAC Milan
23.71% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 24.98% (0.0019999999999989 0) 51.31% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)51.71% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)73.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)36.67% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)73.46% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.15% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 23.71%
    AC Milan 51.31%
    Draw 24.97%
TorinoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-1 @ 5.96% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.72% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.71%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.08%
0-3 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.03%
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 51.31%

How you voted: Torino vs AC Milan

Torino
12.0%
Draw
7.7%
AC Milan
80.4%
209
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Torino
0-0
AC Milan

Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')

Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (14')
Romagnoli (10'), Kalulu (34'), Bakayoko (90+3')

Buongiorno (5'), Singo (24'), Pobega (57')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
0-7
AC Milan

Baselli (44'), Linetty (48')
Hernandez (19', 62'), Kessie (26' pen.), Diaz (50'), Rebic (67', 72', 79')
Bennacer (41')
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-0
Torino
AC Milan win 5-4 on penalties

Donnarumma (72'), Tonali (85'), Kessie (112')
Donnarumma (73')

Rincon (27'), Linetty (29'), Zaza (46'), Lukic (101'), Lyanco (115'), Gojak (118')
Jan 9, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-0
Torino
Leao (25'), Kessie (36' pen.)
Pioli (24'), Diaz (38'), Romagnoli (41'), Tonali (45+1'), Dalot (65'), Leao (80'), Calabria (85')

Rincon (26'), Segre (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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