Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Torino win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.