Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Hellas Verona2 - 1Bologna
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 AC Milan
Saturday, April 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 15 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Hellas Verona 2-2 Bologna
Bologna have netted two goals in five of their last six away games in Serie A, which ostensibly makes them favourites on Friday. However, Verona are tough to beat at the Bentegodi in 2023, losing one of their seven home games, and their knack for scoring at home suggests this could end in a high-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Bologna |
39.01% ( 0.03) | 26.83% ( 0) | 34.15% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
