Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia2 - 0Genoa
We said: Venezia 1-2 Genoa
Venezia are trying to follow in the footsteps of Genoa, who stayed up with room to spare following promotion, but they have looked a little out of their depth so far. A leaky back line could leave the hosts vulnerable to conceding multiple goals again, so their wait for a win will go on. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 46.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Genoa |
46.43% ( 0.02) | 26.94% ( 0.02) | 26.63% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
