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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Venezia

AC Milan
4 - 0
Venezia

Hernandez (2'), Fofana (16'), Pulisic (25' pen.), Abraham (29' pen.)
Gabbia (38')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Schingtienne (28'), Nicolussi (67')
Nicolussi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Venezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Torino
Friday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 3-1 Venezia

 Already nearing must-win territory for Paulo Fonseca, his Milan side will surely see off a Venezia team that look set for a long season of struggle. The visitors lack bite in the final third, and their shaky defence can be exploited by the guile and speed of Rafa Leao, Christian Pulisic and co. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawVenezia
64.46% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 19.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 15.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.93% (0.009999999999998 0.01)41.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)12.03% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)39.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.84%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 64.45%
    Venezia 15.67%
    Draw 19.87%
AC MilanDrawVenezia
2-0 @ 10.55%
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 64.45%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.87%
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 15.67%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Venezia

AC Milan
94.2%
Draw
0.8%
Venezia
5.0%
121
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 21
Venezia
0-3
AC Milan

Ceccaroni (56')
Svoboda (58')
Ibrahimovic (2'), Hernandez (48', 59')
Saelemaekers (5'), Gabbia (37'), Tonali (73')
> Preview
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
2-0
Venezia
Diaz (68'), Hernandez (82')

Forte (25'), Caldara (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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