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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Venezia

AC Milan
4 - 0
Venezia

Hernandez (2'), Fofana (16'), Pulisic (25' pen.), Abraham (29' pen.)
Gabbia (38')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Schingtienne (28'), Nicolussi (67')
Nicolussi (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Venezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Torino
Friday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 3-1 Venezia

 Already nearing must-win territory for Paulo Fonseca, his Milan side will surely see off a Venezia team that look set for a long season of struggle. The visitors lack bite in the final third, and their shaky defence can be exploited by the guile and speed of Rafa Leao, Christian Pulisic and co. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawVenezia
64.46% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 19.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 15.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 53.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.93% (0.009999999999998 0.01)41.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)63.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)12.03% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.49% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)39.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.84%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 64.45%
    Venezia 15.67%
    Draw 19.87%
AC MilanDrawVenezia
2-0 @ 10.55%
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.74%
5-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 64.45%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.87%
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 15.67%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Venezia

AC Milan
94.2%
Draw
0.8%
Venezia
5.0%
121
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 21
Venezia
0-3
AC Milan

Ceccaroni (56')
Svoboda (58')
Ibrahimovic (2'), Hernandez (48', 59')
Saelemaekers (5'), Gabbia (37'), Tonali (73')
> Preview
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
AC Milan
2-0
Venezia
Diaz (68'), Hernandez (82')

Forte (25'), Caldara (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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