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Serie A
Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Milan logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
AC Milan

Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

Last Six:
Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

AC Milan

Last Six:
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 AC Milan
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 AC Milan

 With such a reliable front three, Verona should be fancied to break down even Milan's steadfast back four at some stage, but that may not prove enough to taste victory at the final whistle, given their visitors have lost only a single Serie A away game. The Rossoneri have not been prolific of late, but having Ibrahimovic back on the bench offers an invaluable option to mix things up if the game remains deadlocked in the tense final stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
26.85% (-1.227 -1.23) 24.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 48.98% (1.149 1.15)
Both teams to score 56.22% (-1.255 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-1.201 -1.2)45.72% (1.199 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-1.152 -1.15)68.04% (1.151 1.15)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-1.538 -1.54)30.81% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-1.847 -1.85)67.08% (1.845 1.85)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)50.13% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.85%
    AC Milan 48.98%
    Draw 24.16%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.483 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.402 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.32% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.223 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 48.98%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
14.0%
Draw
10.0%
AC Milan
76.0%
100
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
0-2
AC Milan

Magnani (26'), Bessa (90+3')
Krunic (27'), Dalot (50')
Nov 8, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-2
Hellas Verona
Magnani (27' og.), Ibrahimovic (90+3')
Bennacer (54')
Barak (6'), Calabria (19' og.)
Ceccherini (33'), Lovato (42'), Tameze (90+1')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
1-1
Hellas Verona
Calhanoglu (29')
Hernandez (45')
Faraoni (13')
Rrahmani (24'), Pessina (86'), Borini (90'), Silvestri (90')
Amrabat (68')
Sep 15, 2019 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
0-1
AC Milan

Veloso (40'), Gunter (65'), Amrabat (74'), Silvestri (85')
Stepinski (21')
Piatek (68' pen.)
Piatek (24'), Paqueta (35'), Rebic (86')
Calabria (95')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010
> Serie A Full Table


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