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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Lazio
1 - 2
AC Milan

Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 1-0 AC Milan

There is little to choose between two of the teams to have kept the most clean sheets in 2022 - nine for Milan and six for Lazio (who are joint-second in that regard) - so goals could be at a premium. The Rossoneri are under more intense pressure than their Roman rivals and may crack at some point, which would have serious consequences for their dreams of the Scudetto. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
36.97%25.99%37.04%
Both teams to score 54.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.88%50.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91%72.09%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65%26.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51%61.49%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69%26.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56%61.44%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 36.97%
    AC Milan 37.04%
    Draw 25.99%
LazioDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 2.74%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.97%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 3.67%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.04%

How you voted: Lazio vs AC Milan

Lazio
34.1%
Draw
19.6%
AC Milan
46.4%
179
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Lazio
Rebic (10'), Calhanoglu (17' pen.), Hernandez (90+2')
Krunic (41'), Pioli (44'), Hernandez (78')
Alberto (28'), Immobile (59')
Inzaghi (27'), Escalante (39'), Alberto (64'), Akpa-Akpro (80'), Muriqi (88')
Jul 4, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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