Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 38 | 38 | 86 |
2 | Inter Milan | 38 | 52 | 84 |
3 | Napoli | 38 | 43 | 79 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
36.97% | 25.99% | 37.04% |
Both teams to score 54.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.88% | 50.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.91% | 72.09% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.65% | 26.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.51% | 61.49% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% | 26.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.56% | 61.44% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 6.17% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.97% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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