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Inter logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
AC Milan

Martinez (4', 40'), Gosens (82')
Skriniar (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (35'), Tomori (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan (Inter win 2-1 on aggregate)

While the away goals rule could play a role in how both sides approach this game - Milan may be happy to sit in and try to strike a blow on the counter - the greater goal threat that Inter pose is set to see them through to the final. A number of options in attack, by contrast with their rivals' recent troubles in that department, may ultimately decide the destiny of this contest in the Nerazzurri's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
49.14%22.64%28.22%
Both teams to score 62.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.32%37.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.08%59.92%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35%15.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33%44.66%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 49.14%
    AC Milan 28.22%
    Draw 22.64%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.02%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 1.68%
1-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
62.8%
Draw
19.1%
AC Milan
18.1%
215
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 8pm
Feb 5, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Perisic (38')
Calhanoglu (60'), Skriniar (84')
Giroud (75', 78')
Romagnoli (21'), Diaz (72'), Bennacer (76'), Krunic (90+1')
Hernandez (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2021 2pm
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
2-1
AC Milan
Lukaku (71' pen.), Eriksen (90+7')
Lukaku (45'), Brozovic (52'), Hakimi (90+10')
Ibrahimovic (31')
Kjaer (17'), Ibrahimovic (45+1'), Rebic (65'), Kessie (90+9')
Ibrahimovic (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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