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Inter logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
AC Milan

Martinez (4', 40'), Gosens (82')
Skriniar (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (35'), Tomori (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 AC Milan (Inter win 2-1 on aggregate)

While the away goals rule could play a role in how both sides approach this game - Milan may be happy to sit in and try to strike a blow on the counter - the greater goal threat that Inter pose is set to see them through to the final. A number of options in attack, by contrast with their rivals' recent troubles in that department, may ultimately decide the destiny of this contest in the Nerazzurri's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
49.14%22.64%28.22%
Both teams to score 62.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.32%37.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.08%59.92%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35%15.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33%44.66%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 49.14%
    AC Milan 28.22%
    Draw 22.64%
Inter MilanDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.83%
5-1 @ 1%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.14%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.02%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.89%
0-1 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 1.68%
1-4 @ 1.06%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.22%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs AC Milan

Inter Milan
62.8%
Draw
19.1%
AC Milan
18.1%
215
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2022 8pm
Feb 5, 2022 5pm
Inter Milan
1-2
AC Milan
Perisic (38')
Calhanoglu (60'), Skriniar (84')
Giroud (75', 78')
Romagnoli (21'), Diaz (72'), Bennacer (76'), Krunic (90+1')
Hernandez (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2021 2pm
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Inter Milan
2-1
AC Milan
Lukaku (71' pen.), Eriksen (90+7')
Lukaku (45'), Brozovic (52'), Hakimi (90+10')
Ibrahimovic (31')
Kjaer (17'), Ibrahimovic (45+1'), Rebic (65'), Kessie (90+9')
Ibrahimovic (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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