Hellas Verona

1 - 4

Empoli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.