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Monza
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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Hellas Verona logo

Lecce
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Dorgu (51')
Guilbert (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Belahyane (26'), Serdar (56')
Tchatchoua (40'), Belahyane (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, October 26 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 6-1 Hellas Verona
Saturday, October 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 2-1 Hellas Verona

Lecce's long wait for a win could finally end, as they come up against Serie A's leakiest defence on Tuesday evening. In fact, both teams concede goals at a rate of more than two per game, so it may be the case that whichever side makes fewer mistakes will prevail. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawHellas Verona
36.9% (1.951 1.95) 26.02% (0.605 0.61) 37.08% (-2.558 -2.56)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-1.902 -1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (-2.515 -2.52)50.23% (2.514 2.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-2.276 -2.28)72.19% (2.277 2.28)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)26.44% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)61.61% (0.073 0.07)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (-2.531 -2.53)26.34% (2.529 2.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.52% (-3.504 -3.5)61.48% (3.504 3.5)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 36.9%
    Hellas Verona 37.08%
    Draw 26.01%
LecceDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.894 0.89)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.219 0.22)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.586 0.59)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.256 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 36.9%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.682 0.68)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.276 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.374 -0.37)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.272 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.456 -0.46)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.191 -0.19)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.08%

How you voted: Lecce vs Hellas Verona

Lecce
59.0%
Draw
20.1%
Hellas Verona
20.8%
144
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Lecce
0-1
Hellas Verona

Banda (37'), Sansone (79'), Pongracic (90+1')
D'Aversa (38')
Folorunsho (17')
Tchatchoua (43'), Silva (84'), Henry (90+1')
Henry (90+8')
Nov 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Hellas Verona
2-2
Lecce
Ngonge (41'), Djuric (77')
Duda (3')
Oudin (30'), Gonzalez (69')
Dorgu (5'), Banda (23')
May 7, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Hellas Verona
2-0
Lecce
Depaoli (40'), Lazovic (54')
Jan 26, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 21
Hellas Verona
3-0
Lecce
Dawidowicz (19'), Pessina (34'), Pazzini (86' pen.)
Faraoni (30'), Amrabat (65')

Tachtsidis (15'), Dell'Orco (58')
Dell'Orco (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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