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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Empoli logo

Lecce
1 - 1
Empoli

Pierotti (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pellegri (33')
Cacace (45+1'), Pellegri (52'), Henderson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Como
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Empoli

Lecce's only loss from five previous top-flight home games against Empoli came back in 2006, and they should continue that trend on Friday evening - providing they can convert their chances. While the Azzurri's defence has stood firm this season, they may be tempted to press forward against ailing opponents, and their hosts have the potential to counter-attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawEmpoli
38.68% (0.411 0.41) 27.89% (0.367 0.37) 33.42% (-0.776 -0.78)
Both teams to score 47.88% (-1.224 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (-1.471 -1.47)58.04% (1.474 1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (-1.171 -1.17)78.72% (1.173 1.17)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.473 -0.47)29.13% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59)65.05% (0.589 0.59)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (-1.268 -1.27)32.44% (1.268 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (-1.451 -1.45)68.96% (1.452 1.45)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 38.68%
    Empoli 33.42%
    Draw 27.89%
LecceDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.211 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 38.68%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.517 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 10.63% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.079999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.42%

How you voted: Lecce vs Empoli

Lecce
33.9%
Draw
26.3%
Empoli
39.8%
118
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 32
Lecce
1-0
Empoli
Sansone (89')
Almqvist (45+2')

Gyasi (90')
Dec 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Empoli
1-1
Lecce
Rafia (71' og.)
Maleh (37'), Grassi (51')
Banda (64')
Gonzalez (4'), D'Aversa (68'), Ramadani (75')
Apr 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 28
Empoli
1-0
Lecce
Caputo (62' pen.)
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lecce
1-1
Empoli
Espeto (40')
Banda (34')
Parisi (23')
Marin (27'), Stojanovic (57')
May 10, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 38
Empoli
2-1
Lecce
La Mantia (51'), Matos (68')
Haas (39'), Parisi (63'), Olivieri (84')
Rodriguez (24')
Meccariello (10'), Pisacane (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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