Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.