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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Vefa Stadi
Istanbul Basaksehir

Karagumruk
1 - 1
Istanbul

Dursun (88')
Biraschi (74'), Eysseric (90+5')
Biraschi (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Paoletti (45' og.)
Opoku (56'), Turuc (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 3-0 Karagumruk
Saturday, January 13 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 3-2 Alanyaspor
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-2 Istanbul Basaksehir

Determined to break their rut against Karagumruk, Basaksehir will find the current circumstances ripe for a turnaround. Riding a wave of confidence, the visitors arrive equally eager to maintain their positive momentum. Ultimately, Basaksehir's experience and superior form should prove too much for the Black Reds to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
52.57% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 23.99% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 23.44% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (0.018000000000001 0.02)47.93% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.11% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01)18.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (0.018999999999998 0.02)49.2% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17%34.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 52.56%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 23.44%
    Draw 23.99%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 5.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.44%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Istanbul
0-2
Karagumruk

Karzev (28'), Gurler (31'), Pelkas (85')
Mendes (6'), Sengezer (30' og.)
Mendes (38'), Rohden (61'), Shukurov (90'), Dursun (90+4')
Mar 19, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Karagumruk
2-2
Istanbul
Borini (45+4' pen.), Diagne (90+2')
Aleksic (42'), Gurler (90+1')
Sep 18, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 27
Istanbul
1-2
Karagumruk
Trezeguet (25')
Ucan (72'), Okaka (80')
Borini (39'), Musa (41')
Erkin (54'), Mercan (88')
Oct 1, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Karagumruk
3-1
Istanbul
Bertolacci (19', 30'), Balkovec (37')
Aleksic (84')
Lima (35'), Ponck (64'), Tekdemir (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray16142047192844
2Fenerbahce16113240152536
3Samsunspor1693429171230
4Goztepe SKGoztepe SK1684431211028
5EyupsporEyupspor177642518727
6BesiktasBesiktas167542518726
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul156452521422
8GaziantepGaziantep166372224-221
9AntalyasporAntalyaspor166372028-821
10KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor166281625-920
12KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
13SivassporSivasspor175482027-719
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor164661619-318
15TrabzonsporTrabzonspor153752322116
16KayserisporKayserispor163671632-1615
17Bodrumspor154291221-914
18Hatayspor151681324-119
19Adana Demirspor1512121235-232


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