Istanbul4 - 2Alanyaspor
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, August 15 at 6.45pm in Europa Conference League
Sunday, August 11 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1 Alanyaspor
Both these sides produced fairly underwhelming performances over the opening weekend but the game time would certainly have helped them shake off any rustiness. The hosts may have been a little guilty of prioritising the European competition last week, but they will know the importance of keeping up with the leading pack, and we expect them to notch up their first win of the league season in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Alanyaspor |
58.42% ( 0.11) | 22.12% ( -0.06) | 19.46% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
