Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Sion had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.