Lugano

2 - 2

Basel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.