Conference League | League Stage
Dec 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stockhorn Arena
Lugano2 - 2Pafos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugano 1-4 Lausanne
Sunday, December 15 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, December 15 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Goals
for
for
30
Last Game: Pafos 2-0 Celje
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Conference League
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Conference League
Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
1 | Basel | 40 | 2.22 | Traore |
2 | Luzern | 33 | 1.83 | Klidje |
3 | Lausanne | 31 | 1.72 | Sanches |
4 | Lugano | 30 | 1.67 | Steffen |
5 | Servette | 29 | 1.61 | Kutesa |
6 | St Gallen | 29 | 1.61 | Akolo |
7 | Sion | 25 | 1.39 | Chouaref |
8 | Young Boys | 25 | 1.39 | Ganvoula |
9 | FC Zurich | 24 | 1.33 | Jose Perea |
10 | Grasshopper | 17 | 0.94 | Morandi |
11 | Winterthur | 16 | 0.89 | Di Giusto |
12 | Yverdon Sport | 16 | 0.89 | Cespedes |
We said: Lugano 3-2 Pafos FC
Neither team can afford to be cautious with both needing a result, and the potential to move into second place should encourage Lugano to go for the three points here. Pafos must win if they want to break into the top eight, but poor away form on the continent suggests they may come up just short here, even though a knockout spot is already secured. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lugano | Draw | Pafos FC |
40.89% ( -0.05) | 24.33% ( -0.01) | 34.78% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.24% ( 0.04) | 42.76% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.84% ( 0.04) | 65.16% ( -0.05) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.97% ( -0) | 21.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% ( -0) | 53.81% |
Pafos FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.85% ( 0.05) | 24.15% ( -0.05) |