MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 11:47:58| >> :600:154048:154048:
Braga
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Nov 1, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Casa Pia

Braga
1 - 1
Casa Pia

Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Braga and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-3 Braga
Saturday, October 28 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Casa Pia

Even though Braga enter the game after a disappointing last week, the gap between the two teams in terms of quality is still too big. Braga are clear favourites, and the home fans should further encourage the team to bounce back after last week's poor results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawCasa Pia
59.6% (0.25899999999999 0.26) 21.66% (-0.052 -0.05) 18.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
Both teams to score 53.94% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.28% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)43.72% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.89% (-0.061 -0.06)66.11% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.72% (0.063000000000002 0.06)14.28% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92% (0.116 0.12)42.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92% (-0.255 -0.25)37.08% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.14% (-0.254 -0.25)73.86% (0.25999999999999 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Braga 59.59%
    Casa Pia 18.74%
    Draw 21.65%
BragaDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.02% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.51% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.45% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 59.59%
1-1 @ 10.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 18.74%

How you voted: Braga vs Casa Pia

Braga
80.8%
Draw
15.4%
Casa Pia
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Horta (54')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Oliveira (22')
Nov 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
0-1
Casa Pia
Martins (23')
rhs 2.0
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