Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
37.63% ( -0.02) | 25.87% ( 0) | 36.5% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.67% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% ( -0.02) | 49.61% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% ( -0.02) | 71.63% ( 0.02) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.26% ( -0.02) | 25.74% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.32% ( -0.03) | 60.67% ( 0.04) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( 0) | 26.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( 0.01) | 61.53% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.63% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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