Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio do Restelo
CF Os Belenenses1 - 2Gil Vicente
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between CF Os Belenenses and Gil Vicente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 4-2 Gil Vicente
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for CF Os Belenenses had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 0-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a CF Os Belenenses win it was 2-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
Result | ||
CF Os Belenenses | Draw | Gil Vicente |
19.5% ( -1.7) | 20.84% ( -1.24) | 59.66% ( 2.94) |
Both teams to score 58.17% ( 1.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.21% ( 3.31) | 38.78% ( -3.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.91% ( 3.41) | 61.09% ( -3.41) |
CF Os Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.61% ( 0.25) | 33.39% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.98% ( 0.27) | 70.01% ( -0.27) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.32% ( 1.98) | 12.68% ( -1.98) |