Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.51%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
38.51% ( 0.04) | 25.74% ( -0.02) | 35.75% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.07% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.92% ( 0.07) | 49.07% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.85% ( 0.06) | 71.15% ( -0.06) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.99% ( 0.05) | 25.01% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.33% ( 0.08) | 59.66% ( -0.08) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% ( 0.02) | 26.56% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% ( 0.03) | 61.77% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 38.51% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 35.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
16 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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