MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 02:35:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Gil Vicente logo

Chaves
4 - 2
Gil Vicente

Hernandez (26', 81', 90+8'), Cruz (58')
Sanca (45+2'), Ribeiro (90+3')
Ribeiro (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Correia (19'), Dominguez (39')
Tiba (29'), Pereira (36'), Neto (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Chaves
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, October 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 3-2 Gil Vicente

In the first-ever top-flight meetings between the sides last season, Chaves won 3-1 here, and after finding a new lease of life under Moreno, they could well repeat the feat. Gil Vicente have been free-scoring, but despite scoring 16 goals in their first seven games, they have still lost four times, including in all three away games so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawGil Vicente
33.77% (-0.264 -0.26) 24.66% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 41.56% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 58.44% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (-0.326 -0.33)44.55% (0.329 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (-0.315 -0.31)66.91% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)25.57% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (-0.423 -0.42)60.44% (0.427 0.43)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)21.47% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)54.51% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 33.77%
    Gil Vicente 41.56%
    Draw 24.65%
ChavesDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.49% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.56%

How you voted: Chaves vs Gil Vicente

Chaves
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Gil Vicente
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 8.15pm
Oct 23, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Chaves
3-1
Gil Vicente
Mendes (46', 67'), Arriba (59')
Navarro (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912


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