MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 00:32:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Gil Vicente logo

Chaves
4 - 2
Gil Vicente

Hernandez (26', 81', 90+8'), Cruz (58')
Sanca (45+2'), Ribeiro (90+3')
Ribeiro (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Correia (19'), Dominguez (39')
Tiba (29'), Pereira (36'), Neto (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Chaves
Sunday, October 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, October 2 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 3-2 Gil Vicente

In the first-ever top-flight meetings between the sides last season, Chaves won 3-1 here, and after finding a new lease of life under Moreno, they could well repeat the feat. Gil Vicente have been free-scoring, but despite scoring 16 goals in their first seven games, they have still lost four times, including in all three away games so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawGil Vicente
33.77% (-0.264 -0.26) 24.66% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 41.56% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 58.44% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (-0.326 -0.33)44.55% (0.329 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (-0.315 -0.31)66.91% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)25.57% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (-0.423 -0.42)60.44% (0.427 0.43)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)21.47% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)54.51% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 33.77%
    Gil Vicente 41.56%
    Draw 24.65%
ChavesDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.49% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.45% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.56%

How you voted: Chaves vs Gil Vicente

Chaves
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Gil Vicente
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 8.15pm
Oct 23, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Chaves
3-1
Gil Vicente
Mendes (46', 67'), Arriba (59')
Navarro (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612


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