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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Estoril

Gil Vicente
5 - 3
Estoril

Tiba (9'), Dominguez (39'), Costa (45+2' pen.), Correia (54'), Depu (56')
Dominguez (57'), Correia (65'), Gbane (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Cassiano (51' pen., 84'), Marques (61')
Alvaro (13'), Cassiano (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, September 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Boavista
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril Praia

Both teams have had the international break to regroup after tough starts and will see Sunday as a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. While the sides are relatively evenly-matched, the attacking signs that the visitors have showed so far this season lead us to believe they could get over the line on their travels, with Alejandro Marques aiming to continue his clinical start to life in Portugal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawEstoril Praia
42.43% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 25.51% (-0.133 -0.13) 32.05% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.93% (0.455 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (0.584 0.58)48.86% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.527 0.53)70.95% (-0.53 -0.53)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.291 0.29)22.91% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (0.427 0.43)56.67% (-0.43 -0.43)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.322 0.32)28.73% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (0.401 0.4)64.57% (-0.40400000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 42.43%
    Estoril Praia 32.05%
    Draw 25.51%
Gil VicenteDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.43%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.05%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Estoril

Gil Vicente
Draw
Estoril Praia
Gil Vicente
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Estoril Praia
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 8.15pm
Oct 7, 2022 8.15pm
Mar 4, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 25
Gil Vicente
0-0
Estoril
Aburjania (20'), Pedrinho (54')
Silva (88')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Estoril
2-2
Gil Vicente
Fonte (11'), Franco (45+2' pen.)
Rosier (29'), Chiquinho (38')
Lino (42'), Navarro (50')
Carlos (44'), Costa (65'), Leautey (75'), Pedrinho (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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