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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Estoril

Gil Vicente
5 - 3
Estoril

Tiba (9'), Dominguez (39'), Costa (45+2' pen.), Correia (54'), Depu (56')
Dominguez (57'), Correia (65'), Gbane (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Cassiano (51' pen., 84'), Marques (61')
Alvaro (13'), Cassiano (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, September 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Boavista
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-2 Estoril Praia

 Both teams have had the international break to regroup after tough starts and will see Sunday as a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. While the sides are relatively evenly-matched, the attacking signs that the visitors have showed so far this season lead us to believe they could get over the line on their travels, with Alejandro Marques aiming to continue his clinical start to life in Portugal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawEstoril Praia
42.43% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 25.51% (-0.133 -0.13) 32.05% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.93% (0.455 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.14% (0.584 0.58)48.86% (-0.587 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.527 0.53)70.95% (-0.53 -0.53)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.291 0.29)22.91% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (0.427 0.43)56.67% (-0.43 -0.43)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.322 0.32)28.73% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (0.401 0.4)64.57% (-0.40400000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 42.43%
    Estoril Praia 32.05%
    Draw 25.51%
Gil VicenteDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 9.7% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 42.43%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.05%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Estoril

Gil Vicente
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Estoril Praia
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 31, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 26
Estoril
1-0
Gil Vicente
Marques (1')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 9
Gil Vicente
0-1
Estoril
Lea Siliki (90+6')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 25
Gil Vicente
0-0
Estoril
Aburjania (20'), Pedrinho (54')
Silva (88')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Estoril
2-2
Gil Vicente
Fonte (11'), Franco (45+2' pen.)
Rosier (29'), Chiquinho (38')
Lino (42'), Navarro (50')
Carlos (44'), Costa (65'), Leautey (75'), Pedrinho (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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