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Gil Vicente logo
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Arouca

Gil Vicente
1 - 4
Arouca

Carvalho (17')
Carvalho (19'), Carraca (52'), Cunha (58'), Fernandes (76')
Medina (88'), Cunha (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mujica (6', 38', 58'), Manuel Velazquez (90+3')
Manuel Velazquez (78'), Ruiz (82'), Bruninho (90')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Gil Vicente and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Portimonense
Friday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Arouca
Saturday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawArouca
43.82%25.66%30.53%
Both teams to score 53.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96%50.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.99%72.01%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24%22.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.56%56.44%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64%30.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45%66.55%
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 43.81%
    Arouca 30.53%
    Draw 25.66%
Gil VicenteDrawArouca
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.02%
2-0 @ 7.57%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.81%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 2.89%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.53%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 6pm
Arouca
1-0
Gil Vicente
Mujica (1')
Soro (44'), Ruiz (52'), De Arruabarrena (73'), Vitinho (90+1')

Cunha (38'), Carraca (81')
Apr 2, 2022 6pm
Arouca
2-1
Gil Vicente
Silva (55', 59')
Bukia (14'), Quaresma (34')
Simao (45')
Cunha (90+2')
Cunha (82'), Aouacheria (84'), Aburjania (89')
Aburjania (90')
Nov 5, 2021 7pm
Gil Vicente
1-1
Arouca
Navarro (47')
Talocha (70')
Nunes (16')
Quaresma (21'), Silva (35'), Moreira (66'), Kouassi (77')
Silva (83')
rhs 2.0
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