Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
47.02% ( -0.03) | 26.39% ( 0.01) | 26.59% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.06% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.99% ( -0.03) | 55% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% ( -0.03) | 76.27% ( 0.02) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( -0.03) | 23.38% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( -0.04) | 57.36% ( 0.04) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% ( 0) | 35.96% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.26% ( 0) | 72.74% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.01% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 26.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 6 | 33 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 30 |
3 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 7 | 23 | 28 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
5 | Braga | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 21 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 17 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 13 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 10 |
14 | AVS | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 10 |
15 | Nacional | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 8 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 21 | -15 | 8 |
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