Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Portimonense1 - 4Braga
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Portimonense and Braga.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Chaves
Saturday, November 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Braga
Sunday, November 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Portimonense win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Braga |
19.46% ( -0.86) | 21.51% ( -0.33) | 59.03% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
